Tropical Storm KIRK Forecast Advisory Number 5

 | By Seamus on 8/29/2012 5:15:30 PM | Views (1) Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 29 2012

000
WTNT21 KNHC 292031
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112012
2100 UTC WED AUG 29 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  47.6W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  47.6W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  47.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 26.1N  48.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 27.7N  50.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 29.6N  51.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 31.9N  51.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 38.0N  46.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 45.5N  37.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N  47.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

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